Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.052402 0.061515 0.071693 0.083896 0.098123 0.114184 0.133689
2025-08-10 0.039039 0.051090 0.066016 0.085834 0.111440 0.143389 0.186277
2025-08-17 0.029455 0.041938 0.058685 0.082746 0.116378 0.161682 0.227320
2025-08-24 0.023981 0.036604 0.054694 0.082419 0.123756 0.183026 0.274408
2025-08-31 0.019849 0.032188 0.050912 0.081264 0.129112 0.201509 0.319260
2025-09-07 0.017356 0.029701 0.049412 0.082992 0.138603 0.226836 0.377260
2025-09-14 0.014892 0.026782 0.046674 0.082145 0.143600 0.245432 0.426663
2025-09-21 0.012702 0.023927 0.043542 0.080038 0.145977 0.259721 0.470371
2025-09-28 0.010854 0.021357 0.040478 0.077504 0.147082 0.271708 0.511250
2025-10-05 0.009909 0.020303 0.039957 0.079443 0.156389 0.299070 0.582861
2025-10-12 0.008940 0.019040 0.038843 0.080057 0.163194 0.322525 0.649905
2025-10-19 0.008074 0.017846 0.037682 0.080375 0.169384 0.345414 0.718464
2025-10-26 0.007369 0.016900 0.036925 0.081492 0.177496 0.373357 0.801330
2025-11-02 0.006863 0.016311 0.036834 0.084004 0.188864 0.409282 0.905271
2025-11-09 0.005986 0.014744 0.034413 0.081101 0.188204 0.420148 0.957569
2025-11-16 0.005415 0.013800 0.033236 0.080805 0.193229 0.443665 1.040218
2025-11-23 0.004860 0.012803 0.031794 0.079677 0.196174 0.462894 1.115534
2025-11-30 0.004541 0.012344 0.031553 0.081373 0.205942 0.498610 1.233088
2025-12-07 0.004114 0.011539 0.030356 0.080542 0.209481 0.520271 1.320006
2025-12-14 0.003673 0.010626 0.028759 0.078475 0.209664 0.533936 1.389152
2025-12-21 0.003264 0.009736 0.027094 0.075989 0.208439 0.543990 1.450506
2025-12-28 0.003089 0.009479 0.027071 0.077892 0.218948 0.584568 1.594611
2026-01-04 0.002876 0.009076 0.026598 0.078494 0.226045 0.617249 1.722064